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JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute 2000 92(16):1321-1329; doi:10.1093/jnci/92.16.1321
© 2000 by Oxford University Press
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Journal of the National Cancer Institute, Vol. 92, No. 16, 1321-1329, August 16, 2000
© 2000 Oxford University Press

Decision Framework for Chemotherapeutic Interventions for Metastatic Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer

Jean-Marie Berthelot, B. Phyllis Will, William K. Evans, Douglas Coyle, Craig C. Earle, Louise Bordeleau

Affiliations of authors: J.-M. Berthelot, B. P. Will, Statistics Canada, Ottawa; W. K. Evans, C. C. Earle, L. Bordeleau, Ottawa Regional Cancer Centre, ON, Canada, and University of Ottawa; D. Coyle, Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Loeb Health Research Institute, Civic Campus, Ottawa Hospital.

Correspondence to: William K. Evans, M.D., F.R.C.P.C., Cancer Care Ontario, 620 University Ave., Toronto, ON M5G 2L7, Canada (e-mail: bill.evans{at}cancercare.on.ca).

Background: Best supportive care has long been considered to be the standard therapy for metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). There is now evidence from randomized trials that a number of chemotherapy regimens can palliate cancer-related symptoms and modestly improve survival. We show how cost-effectiveness 1analyses can be used to make choices between different (ambulatory) chemotherapy regimens. Methods: Clinical algorithms describing the diagnosis, staging, and treatment of metastatic NSCLC were incorporated into Statistics Canada's Population Health Model. Using consistent methodology, we assessed the cost-effectiveness of several chemotherapeutic interventions: a combination of vindesine (VDS) plus cisplatin, etoposide (VP-16) plus cisplatin, vinblastine (VLB) plus cisplatin, vinorelbine (Navelbine; NVB) plus cisplatin, paclitaxel (Taxol) plus cisplatin, and gemcitabine (GEM) and NVB alone. We calculated the total chemotherapy costs in 1995 Canadian dollars, the cost per case, the average life-years saved, and the cost per life-year saved. Using the Population Health Model, we then constructed an advanced decision framework that rank-ordered the various treatment regimens so as to optimize benefit below various cost-effectiveness thresholds. Results: One regimen (VLB plus cisplatin) appears to result in better survival and lower health care expenditures than best supportive care. By use of cost-effectiveness thresholds of $25 000 and $50 000 per life-year gained, NVB plus cisplatin is the preferred regimen. When quality of life is considered, however, GEM is preferred to NVB plus cisplatin at a threshold value of $50 000. At thresholds of $75 000 and $100 000, paclitaxel plus cisplatin at a dose of 135 mg/m2 is the preferred regimen. At thresholds of $50 000 and above, best supportive care is the least preferred regimen. Conclusions: This decision framework allows the comparison of different treatment regimens based on various cost-effectiveness thresholds. Our analysis also supports the use of chemotherapy regimens and the abandonment of best supportive care as the standard of care for patients with advanced NSCLC. [J Natl Cancer Inst 2000;92:1321–9].



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