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JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute 1998 90(23):1824-1829; doi:10.1093/jnci/90.23.1824
© 1998 by Oxford University Press
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Journal Of The National Cancer Institute, Vol 90, 1824-1829, Copyright © 1998 by Oxford University Press


ARTICLES

Effect of BRCA1 and BRCA2 on the association between breast cancer risk and family history

EB Claus, J Schildkraut, ES Iversen Jr, D Berry and G Parmigiani
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT 06520-8034, USA.

BACKGROUND: The discovery of BRCA1 and BRCA2 has led to a reassessment of the association between family history of breast/ovarian cancer and breast cancer risk after controlling for carrier status for mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes. We examined whether family history of breast cancer remains a predictive risk factor for this disease after carrier status for BRCA1 and/or BRCA2 mutations is taken into consideration. METHODS: The data are from 4730 case subjects with breast cancer and 4688 control subjects enrolled in the Cancer and Steroid Hormone Study. The probability of being a BRCA1 and/or BRCA2 gene carrier was calculated for each woman. Among predicted noncarriers, logistic regression was used to assess the relationship (odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) between case or control status and family history of breast or ovarian cancer. Estimates of age-specific breast cancer risk are presented by predicted carrier status. RESULTS: Among predicted noncarriers, case subjects were 2.06 times (95% CI = 1.69-2.50) and 1.24 times (95% CI = 1.17- 1.32) more likely to report a first-degree or second-degree family history of breast cancer, respectively, than were control subjects. Case subjects were 1.99 times (95% CI = 1.63-2.44), 1.66 times (95% CI = 1.18-2.38), and 2.23 times (95% CI = 0.21-24.65) more likely to report an affected mother, sister, or both, respectively, than were control subjects. A family history of ovarian cancer was not statistically significantly associated with breast cancer risk. Noncarriers were predicted to have a lifetime risk of 9% of developing breast cancer compared with a 63% risk for carriers. CONCLUSIONS: Among women with a moderate family history of breast cancer, i.e., predicted noncarriers of BRCA1 and/or BRCA2 mutations, family history remains a factor in predicting breast cancer risk. In families with breast and ovarian cancers, the aggregation of these two cancers appears to be explained by BRCA1/BRCA2 mutation-carrier probability.
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