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JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute 1995 87(18):1365-1371; doi:10.1093/jnci/87.18.1365
© 1995 by Oxford University Press
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Journal of the National Cancer Institute, Vol. 87, No. 18, 1365-1371, September 20, 1995
© 1995 Oxford University Press

Persistent Genital Human Papillomavirus Infection as a Risk Factor for Persistent Cervical Dysplasia

Gloria Y. F. Ho, Robert D. Burk, Sara Klein, Anna S. Kadish, C. J. Chang, Prabhudas Palan, Jayasri Basu, Ruth Tachezy, Renee Lewis, Seymour Romney

Department of Epidemiology and Social Medicine, Albert Einstein College of Medicine Bronx, NY
Department of Pediatrics, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, and Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine Bronx, NY
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine Bronx, NY
Department of Pathology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine Bronx, NY
Department of Epidemiology and Social Medicine, Albert Einstein College of Medicine Bronx, NY
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine Bronx, NY
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine Bronx, NY
Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine Bronx, NY
Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine Bronx, NY
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine Bronx, NY

Correspondence to: Gloria Y. F. Ho, Ph.D., Department of Epidemiology and Social Medicine, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, 1300 Morris Park Ave., Bronx, NY 10461.

Background: Cervical dysplasia, also referred to as squamous intraepithelial lesion (SIL) in cytology or cervical intraepithelial neoplasia in histopathology, is thought to have the potential to advance in progressive stages to cervical cancer. However, not all cases of SIL progress, and most of the mild lesions spontaneously regress. Factors that govern regression, persistence, and progression of SIL are poorly understood. Purpose: Our analysis sought to identify factors that determined persistence or regression of SIL. Methods: Seventy subjects with histopathologically confirmed cervical dysplasia were followed at 3-month intervals for 15 months. At each visit, the cervix was evaluated by Pap smear and colposcopy, and exfoliated cervicovaginal cells were analyzed for human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA. For each subject, data from every two consecutive visits were grouped as a pair. Persistent SIL was considered present if a lesion was detected at a visit (t) as well as at the next visit (t + 1) and absent if a lesion was detected at visit t but not at visit t + 1. A statistical model for time-dependent data correlated persistent SIL with various risk factors. Results: Age, ethnicity, education, sexual behavior, smoking, and the use of oral contraceptives did not correlate with persistent SIL. The risk of persistent SIL was associated with continual HPV infection in visits / and t + 1 (HPV positive by Southern blot analysis: odds ratio [OR] = 3.91, and 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.58–9.65; HPV positive by polymerase chain reaction [PCR]: OR = 2.42, and 95% CI = 1.03–5.67) and a persistent high viral load (OR = 4.07, and 95% CI = 1.35–12.30). When typed by PCR, individuals with type-specific persistent infection in visits t and t + 1, and particularly those with a continual high viral load (OR = 4.97; 95% CI = 1.45–17.02), had the highest risk for persistent SIL compared with those with a low level of type-specific persistent infection or non-type-specific persistent infection. The presence of persistent HPV infection in visits t – 1 and t (the preceding time interval) was also predictive of persistent SIL in visits t and t + 1, although the strength of association was weaker, suggesting that persistent HPV and SIL occur synchronously. Conclusion: HPV infection and its associated cervical lesions tend to occur concurrently, and type-specific persistent HPV infection, particularly with a high viral load, produces chronic cervical dysplasia. Implications: The natural history of genital HPV infection directly influences the prognosis of cervical dysplasia as measured by persistence of the lesion. Testing for HPV infection may be valuable in the clinical management of women with cervical dysplasia. [J Natl Cancer Inst 1995;87: 1365–71]



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N. F. Schlecht, S. Kulaga, J. Robitaille, S. Ferreira, M. Santos, R. A. Miyamura, E. Duarte-Franco, T. E. Rohan, A. Ferenczy, L. L. Villa, et al.
Persistent Human Papillomavirus Infection as a Predictor of Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia
JAMA, December 26, 2001; 286(24): 3106 - 3114.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JNCI J Natl Cancer InstHome page
M. Follen, F. L. Meyskens Jr., E. N. Atkinson, and D. Schottenfeld
Why Most Randomized Phase II Cervical Cancer Chemoprevention Trials are Uninformative: Lessons for the Future
J Natl Cancer Inst, September 5, 2001; 93(17): 1293 - 1296.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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PediatricsHome page
J. A. Kahn, E. Goodman, G. B. Slap, B. Huang, and S. J. Emans
Intention to Return for Papanicolaou Smears in Adolescent Girls and Young Women
Pediatrics, August 1, 2001; 108(2): 333 - 341.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
S. J. Goldie, L. Kuhn, L. Denny, A. Pollack, and T. C. Wright
Policy Analysis of Cervical Cancer Screening Strategies in Low-Resource Settings: Clinical Benefits and Cost-effectiveness
JAMA, June 27, 2001; 285(24): 3107 - 3115.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CMAJHome page
E. L. Franco, E. Duarte-Franco, and A. Ferenczy
Cervical cancer: epidemiology, prevention and the role of human papillomavirus infection
Can. Med. Assoc. J., April 1, 2001; 164(7): 1017 - 1025.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
T. Sasagawa, W. Basha, H. Yamazaki, and M. Inoue
High-Risk and Multiple Human Papillomavirus Infections Associated with Cervical Abnormalities in Japanese Women
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., January 1, 2001; 10(1): 45 - 52.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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Cancer Res.Home page
N. Ylitalo, A. Josefsson, M. Melbye, P. Sörensen, M. Frisch, P. K. Andersen, P. Sparén, M. Gustafsson, P. Magnusson, J. Pontén, et al.
A Prospective Study Showing Long-Term Infection with Human Papillomavirus 16 before the Development of Cervical Carcinoma in Situ
Cancer Res., November 1, 2000; 60(21): 6027 - 6032.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
S. Ratnam, E. L. Franco, and A. Ferenczy
Human Papillomavirus Testing for Primary Screening of Cervical Cancer Precursors
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., September 1, 2000; 9(9): 945 - 951.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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J. Clin. Microbiol.Home page
M.-H. Mayrand, F. Coutlée, C. Hankins, N. Lapointe, P. Forest, M. de Ladurantaye, The Canadian Women's HIV Study Group, and M. Roger
Detection of Human Papillomavirus Type 16 DNA in Consecutive Genital Samples Does Not Always Represent Persistent Infection as Determined by Molecular Variant Analysis
J. Clin. Microbiol., September 1, 2000; 38(9): 3388 - 3393.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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CMAJHome page
C. J.L.M. Meijer, P. J.F. Snijders, and A. Brule
Screening for cervical cancer: Should we test for infection with high-risk HPV?
Can. Med. Assoc. J., September 1, 2000; 163(5): 535 - 538.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Clin. Pathol.Home page
L Rozendaal, J Westerga, J C van der Linden, J M M Walboomers, F J Voorhorst, E K J Risse, M E Boon, and C J L M Meijer
PCR based high risk HPV testing is superior to neural network based screening for predicting incident CIN III in women with normal cytology and borderline changes
J. Clin. Pathol., August 1, 2000; 53(8): 606 - 611.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Int J EpidemiolHome page
H.-q. Li, S.-q. Jin, H.-x. Xu, and D. B Thomas
The decline in the mortality rates of cervical cancer and a plausible explanation in Shandong, China
Int. J. Epidemiol., June 1, 2000; 29(3): 398 - 404.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JNCI J Natl Cancer InstHome page
R. Herrero, A. Hildesheim, C. Bratti, M. E. Sherman, M. Hutchinson, J. Morales, I. Balmaceda, M. D. Greenberg, M. Alfaro, R. D. Burk, et al.
Population-Based Study of Human Papillomavirus Infection and Cervical Neoplasia in Rural Costa Rica
J Natl Cancer Inst, March 15, 2000; 92(6): 464 - 474.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Clin. Pathol.Home page
A M Zaitoun, G McKee, M J Coppen, S M Thomas, and P O G Wilson
Completeness of excision and follow up cytology in patients treated with loop excision biopsy
J. Clin. Pathol., March 1, 2000; 53(3): 191 - 196.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Clin. Microbiol.Home page
J. Kónya, G. Veress, A. Juhász, K. Szarka, T. Sápy, Z. Hernádi, and L. Gergely
Additional Human Papillomavirus Types Detected by the Hybrid Capture Tube Test among Samples from Women with Cytological and Colposcopical Atypia
J. Clin. Microbiol., January 1, 2000; 38(1): 408 - 411.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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NEJMHome page
R. D. Burk
Pernicious Papillomavirus Infection
N. Engl. J. Med., November 25, 1999; 341(22): 1687 - 1688.
[Full Text]


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Psychosom. Med.Home page
J. Savard, S. M. Miller, M. Mills, A. O'Leary, H. Harding, S. D. Douglas, C. E. Mangan, R. Belch, and A. Winokur
Association Between Subjective Sleep Quality and Depression on Immunocompetence in Low-Income Women at Risk for Cervical Cancer
Psychosom Med, July 1, 1999; 61(4): 496 - 507.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JNCI J Natl Cancer InstHome page
K.-L. Liaw, A. G. Glass, M. M. Manos, C. E. Greer, D. R. Scott, M. Sherman, R. D. Burk, R. J. Kurman, S. Wacholder, B. B. Rush, et al.
Detection of Human Papillomavirus DNA in Cytologically Normal Women and Subsequent Cervical Squamous Intraepithelial Lesions
J Natl Cancer Inst, June 2, 1999; 91(11): 954 - 960.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JNCI J Natl Cancer InstHome page
E. L. Franco, T. E. Rohan, and L. L. Villa
Epidemiologic Evidence and Human Papillomavirus Infection as a Necessary Cause of Cervical Cancer
J Natl Cancer Inst, March 17, 1999; 91(6): 506 - 511.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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JNCI J Natl Cancer InstHome page
J. M. Palefsky, H. Minkoff, L. A. Kalish, A. Levine, H. S. Sacks, P. Garcia, M. Young, S. Melnick, P. Miotti, and R. Burk
Cervicovaginal Human Papillomavirus Infection in Human Immunodeficiency Virus-1 (HIV)-Positive and High-Risk HIV-Negative Women
J Natl Cancer Inst, February 3, 1999; 91(3): 226 - 236.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
J. S. Mandelblatt, P. Kanetsky, L. Eggert, and K. Gold
Is HIV Infection a Cofactor for Cervical Squamous Cell Neoplasia?
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., January 1, 1999; 8(1): 97 - 106.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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J. Clin. Microbiol.Home page
C. L. Peyton, M. Schiffman, A. T. Lörincz, W. C. Hunt, I. Mielzynska, C. Bratti, S. Eaton, A. Hildesheim, L. A. Morera, A. C. Rodriguez, et al.
Comparison of PCR- and Hybrid Capture-Based Human Papillomavirus Detection Systems Using Multiple Cervical Specimen Collection Strategies
J. Clin. Microbiol., November 1, 1998; 36(11): 3248 - 3254.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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J. Clin. Microbiol.Home page
P. E. Gravitt, C. L. Peyton, R. J. Apple, and C. M. Wheeler
Genotyping of 27 Human Papillomavirus Types by Using L1 Consensus PCR Products by a Single-Hybridization, Reverse Line Blot Detection Method
J. Clin. Microbiol., October 1, 1998; 36(10): 3020 - 3027.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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J. Clin. Microbiol.Home page
P. Zazove, B. D. Reed, L. Gregoire, A. Ferenczy, D. W. Gorenflo, and W. D. Lancaster
Low False-Negative Rate of PCR Analysis for Detecting Human Papillomavirus-Related Cervical Lesions
J. Clin. Microbiol., September 1, 1998; 36(9): 2708 - 2713.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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J Natl Cancer Inst MonogrHome page
D. R. Lowy and J. T. Schiller
Papillomaviruses and Cervical Cancer: Pathogenesis and Vaccine Development
J Natl Cancer Inst Monographs, April 1, 1998; 1998(23): 27 - 30.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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NEJMHome page
S. D. Vernon, E. R. Unger, W. C. Reeves, M. Frisch, H.-O. Adami, M. Melbye, T. V. Ellerbrock, L. Kuhn, and T. C. Wright
Human Papillomaviruses and Anogenital Cancer
N. Engl. J. Med., March 26, 1998; 338(13): 921 - 922.
[Full Text]


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NEJMHome page
G. Y.F. Ho, R. Bierman, L. Beardsley, C. J. Chang, and R. D. Burk
Natural History of Cervicovaginal Papillomavirus Infection in Young Women
N. Engl. J. Med., February 12, 1998; 338(7): 423 - 428.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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NEJMHome page
X.-W. Sun, L. Kuhn, T. V. Ellerbrock, M. A. Chiasson, T. J. Bush, and T. C. Wright
Human Papillomavirus Infection in Women Infected with the Human Immunodeficiency Virus
N. Engl. J. Med., November 6, 1997; 337(19): 1343 - 1349.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]



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