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JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute 2007 99(2):176; doi:10.1093/jnci/djk022
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© The Author 2007. Published by Oxford University Press.

CORRESPONDENCE

Re: Survival With Aromatase Inhibitors and Inactivators Versus Standard Hormonal Therapy in Advanced Breast Cancer: Meta-analysis

Emilio Bria, Paolo Carlini, Francesco Cognetti, Edmondo Terzoli, Diana Giannarelli

Affiliations of authors: Departments of Medical Oncology (EB, PC, FC, ET) and Biostatistics (DG), Regina Elena National Cancer Institute, Rome, Italy

Correspondence to: Emilio Bria, MD, Department of Medical Oncology, Regina Elena National Cancer Institute, Via Elio Chianesi 53, 00144 Rome, Italy (e-mail: emiliobria{at}yahoo.it).

The recent article in the Journal by Mauri et al. (1) of a meta-analysis investigating the impact of aromatase inhibitors on survival provides an opportunity to explore some relevant issues in summarizing data from randomized trials. A synthetic approach, such as meta-analysis, should consider all randomized trials specifically designed to compare different strategies in a particular clinical scenario (2). This approach should exclude all studies not designed for a comparison (i.e., phase II randomized studies). It should also avoid any comparison with a small sample size or possible selection bias (e.g., for activity and safety) that could confound any survival result. It is unclear whether a meta-analysis approach could overcome these problems by use of individual patient data that were analyzed by pooling all single-patient survival data of each trial at an updated follow-up. From this perspective, the inclusion in the meta-analysis of randomized phase II studies that were not adequately powered for any survival analysis may introduce uninformative data into the analysis. Furthermore, a sort of melting pot of various clinical settings was explored by the authors of the meta-analysis (1), given that the primary objectives of trials that aimed to assess efficacy of hormonal therapy for advanced breast cancer as first-, second-, and third-line treatments were different. Indeed, because of the crossover design (which is relatively common in this strategy) and the impact on survival from second-line (and sometimes third-line) treatment in specific clinical situations, it has been suggested (3) that overall survival should not be considered as the primary endpoint in first-line hormonal therapy for advanced breast cancer. In a palliative setting such as metastatic disease, any advantage (whatever the outcome studied) should be balanced with the safety profile. For these reasons, specific outcomes for each drug class and/or generation should be followed by cumulative toxicity analyses (4,5). Although abstracts of unpublished trial results cannot provide definitive data, the first-line European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer phase III trial with the aromatase inactivator exemestane should have been included in the overall analysis to avoid publication bias in such a literature-based meta-analysis (6,7). Indeed, a previous meta-analysis that used survival as secondary endpoint did not find that a statistically significant survival benefit was associated with aromatase inactivator therapy (5). Finally, from a practical clinical perspective, the inclusion in meta-analyses of arms that use nonapproved drug dosages could interfere with the approval of that drug for use in standard practice.

REFERENCES

(1) Mauri D, Pavlidis N, Polyzos NP, Ioannidis JPA. Survival with aromatase inhibitors and inactivators versus standard hormonal therapy in advanced breast cancer: meta-analysis. J Natl Cancer Inst 2006;98:1285–91.[Abstract/Free Full Text]

(2) Pignon JP, Hill C. Meta-analyses of randomized clinical trials in oncology. Lancet Oncol 2001;2:475–82.[CrossRef][Medline]

(3) Di Leo A, Bleiberg H. Overall survival is not a realistic endpoint for clinical trials of new drugs in advanced solid tumors: a critical assessment based on recently reported phase III trials in colorectal and breast cancer. J Clin Oncol 2003;21:2045–7.[Free Full Text]

(4) Carlini P, Bria E, Giannarelli D, Ferretti G, Felici A, Papaldo P, et al. New aromatase inhibitors as second-line endocrine therapy in postmenopausal patients with metastatic breast carcinoma: a pooled analysis of the randomized trials. Cancer 2005;104:1335–42.[CrossRef][Web of Science][Medline]

(5) Ferretti G, Bria E, Giannarelli D, Felici A, Papaldo P, Fabi A, et al. Second- and third-generation aromatase inhibitors as first-line endocrine therapy in postmenopausal metastatic breast cancer patients: a pooled analysis of the randomised trials. Br J Cancer 2006;94:1789–96.[CrossRef][Web of Science][Medline]

(6) Paridaens R, Therasse P, Dirix L, Beex L, Piccart M, Cameron D, et al. First line hormonal treatment (HT) for metastatic breast cancer (MBC) with exemestane (E) or tamoxifen (T) in postmenopausal patients (pts)—a randomized phase III trial of the EORTC Breast Group. 2004 ASCO Annual Meeting Proceedings (post-meeting edition). J Clin Oncol 2004;22(Suppl):515.

(7) Simes RJ. Confronting publication bias: a cohort design for meta-analysis. Stat Med 1987;6:11–29.[Web of Science][Medline]


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Response to this Correspondence

Response: Re: Survival With Aromatase Inhibitors and Inactivators Versus Standard Hormonal Therapy in Advanced Breast Cancer: Meta-analysis
John P. A. Ioannidis, Davide Mauri, Nikolaos P. Polyzos, and Nicholas Pavlidis
J Natl Cancer Inst 2007 99: 176-177. [Extract] [Full Text] [PDF]




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