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JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute 2000 92(14):1151-1158; doi:10.1093/jnci/92.14.1151
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Journal of the National Cancer Institute, Vol. 92, No. 14, 1151-1158, July 19, 2000
© 2000 Oxford University Press

Population Stratification in Epidemiologic Studies of Common Genetic Variants and Cancer: Quantification of Bias

Sholom Wacholder, Nathaniel Rothman, Neil Caporaso

Affiliation of authors: Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD.

Correspondence to: Sholom Wacholder, Ph.D., National Institutes of Health, EPS 8046, 6120 Executive Blvd., Bethesda, MD 20892-7244 (e-mail: Wacholder{at}nih.gov).

Background: Some critics argue that bias from population stratification (the mixture of individuals from heterogeneous genetic backgrounds) undermines the credibility of epidemiologic studies designed to estimate the association between a genotype and the risk of disease. We investigated the degree of bias likely from population stratification in U.S. studies of cancer among non-Hispanic Caucasians of European origin. Methods: An expression of the confounding risk ratio—the ratio of the effect of the genetic factor on risk of disease with and without adjustment for ethnicity—is used to measure the potential relative bias from population stratification. We first use empirical data on the frequency of the N-acetyltransferase (NAT2) slow acetylation genotype and incidence rates of male bladder cancer and female breast cancer in non-Hispanic U.S. Caucasians with ancestries from eight European countries to assess the bias in a hypothetical population-based U.S. study that does not take ethnicity into consideration. Then, we provide theoretical calculations of the bias over a large range of allele frequencies and disease rates. Results: Ignoring ethnicity leads to a bias of 1% or less in our empirical studies of NAT2. Furthermore, evaluation of a wide range of allele frequencies and representative ranges of cancer rates that exist across European populations shows that the risk ratio is biased by less than 10% in U.S. studies except under extreme conditions. We note that the bias decreases as the number of ethnic strata increases. Conclusions: There will be only a small bias from population stratification in a well-designed case–control study of genetic factors that ignores ethnicity among non-Hispanic U.S. Caucasians of European origin. Further work is needed to estimate the effect of population stratification within other populations.



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CarcinogenesisHome page
R. J. Hung, P. Boffetta, J. Brockmoller, D. Butkiewicz, I. Cascorbi, M. L. Clapper, S. Garte, A. Haugen, A. Hirvonen, S. Anttila, et al.
CYP1A1 and GSTM1 genetic polymorphisms and lung cancer risk in Caucasian non-smokers: a pooled analysis
Carcinogenesis, May 1, 2003; 24(5): 875 - 882.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Am J EpidemiolHome page
J. Little, M. J. Khoury, L. Bradley, M. Clyne, M. Gwinn, B. Lin, M.-L. Lindegren, and P. Yoon
The Human Genome Project Is Complete. How Do We Develop a Handle for the Pump?
Am. J. Epidemiol., April 15, 2003; 157(8): 667 - 673.
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Am. J. PsychiatryHome page
K. R. Merikangas and N. Risch
Will the Genomics Revolution Revolutionize Psychiatry?
Am J Psychiatry, April 1, 2003; 160(4): 625 - 635.
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StrokeHome page
B. B. Worrall, S. Azhar, P. A. Nyquist, R. H. Ackerman, T. L. Hamm, and T. J. DeGraba
Interleukin-1 Receptor Antagonist Gene Polymorphisms in Carotid Atherosclerosis
Stroke, March 1, 2003; 34(3): 790 - 793.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Int J EpidemiolHome page
G. Davey Smith and S. Ebrahim
'Mendelian randomization': can genetic epidemiology contribute to understanding environmental determinants of disease?
Int. J. Epidemiol., February 1, 2003; 32(1): 1 - 22.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Int J EpidemiolHome page
E Taioli, L Gaspari, S Benhamou, P Boffetta, J Brockmoller, D Butkiewicz, I Cascorbi, M. Clapper, V Dolzan, A Haugen, et al.
Polymorphisms in CYP1A1, GSTM1, GSTT1 and lung cancer below the age of 45 years
Int. J. Epidemiol., February 1, 2003; 32(1): 60 - 63.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
L.-L. Xu, G. Liu, D. P. Miller, W. Zhou, T. J. Lynch, J. C. Wain, L. Su, and D. C. Christiani
Counterpoint: The Myeloperoxidase -463G->A Polymorphism Does Not Decrease Lung Cancer Susceptibility in Caucasians
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., December 1, 2002; 11(12): 1555 - 1559.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
M. Klerk, P. Verhoef, R. Clarke, H. J. Blom, F. J. Kok, E. G. Schouten, and and the MTHFR Studies Collaboration Group
MTHFR 677C->T Polymorphism and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease: A Meta-analysis
JAMA, October 23, 2002; 288(16): 2023 - 2031.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med.Home page
F. D. Gilliland, Y.-F. Li, L. Dubeau, K. Berhane, E. Avol, R. McConnell, W. J. Gauderman, and J. M. Peters
Effects of Glutathione S-Transferase M1, Maternal Smoking during Pregnancy, and Environmental Tobacco Smoke on Asthma and Wheezing in Children
Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., August 15, 2002; 166(4): 457 - 463.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Am J EpidemiolHome page
J. Little, L. Bradley, M. S. Bray, M. Clyne, J. Dorman, D. L. Ellsworth, J. Hanson, M. Khoury, J. Lau, T. R. O'Brien, et al.
Reporting, Appraising, and Integrating Data on Genotype Prevalence and Gene-Disease Associations
Am. J. Epidemiol., August 15, 2002; 156(4): 300 - 310.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Cancer Res.Home page
E. J. Duell, E. A. Holly, P. M. Bracci, J. K. Wiencke, and K. T. Kelsey
A Population-based Study of the Arg399Gln Polymorphism in X-Ray Repair Cross- Complementing Group 1 (XRCC1) and Risk of Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma
Cancer Res., August 15, 2002; 62(16): 4630 - 4636.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Am. J. PsychiatryHome page
D. Hasin, E. Aharonovich, X. Liu, Z. Mamman, K. Matseoane, L. Carr, and T.-K. Li
Alcohol and ADH2 in Israel: Ashkenazis, Sephardics, and Recent Russian Immigrants
Am J Psychiatry, August 1, 2002; 159(8): 1432 - 1434.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CarcinogenesisHome page
K. Hemminki and A. Forsti
Proper controls for SNP studies?
Carcinogenesis, August 1, 2002; 23(8): 1405 - 1406.
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Hum Mol GenetHome page
G. Malcolm Taylor, S. Dearden, P. Ravetto, M. Ayres, P. Watson, A. Hussain, M. Greaves, F. Alexander, O. B. Eden, and UKCCS Investigators
Genetic susceptibility to childhood common acute lymphoblastic leukaemia is associated with polymorphic peptide-binding pocket profiles in HLA-DPB1*0201
Hum. Mol. Genet., July 1, 2002; 11(14): 1585 - 1597.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
S. Wacholder, N. Rothman, and N. Caporaso
Counterpoint: Bias from Population Stratification Is Not a Major Threat to the Validity of Conclusions from Epidemiological Studies of Common Polymorphisms and Cancer
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., June 1, 2002; 11(6): 513 - 520.
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CarcinogenesisHome page
P. Brennan
Gene-environment interaction and aetiology of cancer: what does it mean and how can we measure it?
Carcinogenesis, March 1, 2002; 23(3): 381 - 387.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
S. Garte, L. Gaspari, A.-K. Alexandrie, C. Ambrosone, H. Autrup, J. L. Autrup, H. Baranova, L. Bathum, S. Benhamou, P. Boffetta, et al.
Metabolic Gene Polymorphism Frequencies in Control Populations
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., December 1, 2001; 10(12): 1239 - 1248.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Arch Gen PsychiatryHome page
P. F. Sullivan, L. J. Eaves, K. S. Kendler, and M. C. Neale
Genetic Case-Control Association Studies in Neuropsychiatry
Arch Gen Psychiatry, November 1, 2001; 58(11): 1015 - 1024.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
R. A. Kittles, R. K. Panguluri, W. Chen, A. Massac, C. Ahaghotu, A. Jackson, F. Ukoli, L. Adams-Campbell, W. Isaacs, and G. M. Dunston
CYP17 Promoter Variant Associated with Prostate Cancer Aggressiveness in African Americans
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., September 1, 2001; 10(9): 943 - 947.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JNCI J Natl Cancer InstHome page
W. Zheng, N. Kataoka, D. Xie, and S. R. Young
RESPONSE: Re: Population-Based, Case-Control Study of HER2 Genetic Polymorphism and Breast Cancer Risk
J Natl Cancer Inst, April 4, 2001; 93(7): 558 - 559.
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JNCI J Natl Cancer InstHome page
R. C. Millikan
Re: Population Stratification in Epidemiologic Studies of Common Genetic Variants and Cancer: Quantification of Bias
J Natl Cancer Inst, January 17, 2001; 93(2): 156 - 157.
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JNCI J Natl Cancer InstHome page
S. Wacholder, N. Rothman, and N. Caporaso
RESPONSE: Re: Population Stratification in Epidemiologic Studies of Common Genetic Variants and Cancer: Quantification of Bias
J Natl Cancer Inst, January 17, 2001; 93(2): 157 - 158.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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Am J EpidemiolHome page
D. M. Umbach
Invited Commentary: On Studying the Joint Effects of Candidate Genes and Exposures
Am. J. Epidemiol., October 15, 2000; 152(8): 701 - 703.
[Full Text] [PDF]



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