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JNCI Journal of the National Cancer Institute 1995 87(3):190-197; doi:10.1093/jnci/87.3.190
© 1995 by Oxford University Press
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Journal of the National Cancer Institute, Vol. 87, No. 3, 190-197, February 1995
© 1995 Oxford University Press

A Prospective Study of Endogenous Estrogens and Breast Cancer in Postmenopausal Women

Paolo G. Toniolo, Mortimer Levitz, Anne Zeleniuch-Jacquotte, Sila Banerjee, Karen L. Koenig, Roy E. Shore, Philip Strax, Bernard S. Pasternack

Affiliations of authors: Department of Environmental Medicine, New York University School of Medicine New York
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, New York University School of Medicine
The Gunman Breast Diagnostic Institute New York, N.Y.

Correspondence to: Paolo G. Toniolo, M.D., Department of Environmental Medicine, New York University School of Medicine, 341 East 25th St., New York, NY 10010.

Background: Circumstantial evidence links endogenous estrogens to increased risk of breast cancer in women, but direct epidemiologic support is limited. In particular, only a few small prospective studies have addressed this issue. Purpose: Our purpose was to assess breast cancer risk in relation to circulating levels of the two major endogenous estrogens, estrone and estradiol, measured before the clinical onset of the disease. Methods: The association between serum levels of estrogens and the risk of breast cancer was examined in a prospective cohort study of 14 291 New York City women, 35–65 years of age, who received screening for breast cancer at the time of blood sampling and who had not been diagnosed with breast cancer. During the first 51/2 years of study, we identified 130 breast cancers among the postmenopausal group (7063 women, 35 509 person-years). The case subjects and twice as many postmenopausal control subjects were included in a case-control study nested within the cohort. Biochemical analyses for percent free estradiol, percent estradiol bound to sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG), total estradiol, estrone, and follicle-stimulating hormone were performed on sera that had been kept at –80°C since sampling. Results: For increasing quar-tiles of total estradiol, the odds ratio (ORs) of breast cancer, as adjusted for Quetelet index (weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters), were 1.0, 0.9, 1.8, and 1.8 (P value for trend =.06); the ORs for increasing quar-tiles of estrone were 1.0, 2.2, 3.7, and 2.5 (P value for trend =.06). For increasing quartiles of free estradiol, defined as the fraction of estradiol that is not bound to proteins, the Quetelet index-adjusted ORs of breast cancer were 1.0, 1.4,

3.0, and 2.9 (P value for trend <.01). When we considered the percent of estradiol bound to SHBG, the Quetelet index-adjusted ORs were 1.0, 0.70, 0.40, and 0.32 (P value for trend <.01), thus suggesting a strong protective effect. These associations persisted or became even stronger when analyses were restricted to women whose samples had been drawn 2 or more years before breast cancer diagnosis. Conclusions: These data represent the first confirmation in a large prospective epidemiologic study of a link between circulating estrogens and breast cancer risk. Although estrogen levels appeared to fall within the conventional limits of normality in all women under study, those who subsequently developed breast cancer tended to show higher levels of estrone, total estradiol, and free estradiol, and a lower percent of estradiol bound to SHBG than women who remained free of cancer. Implications: Factors that increase endogenous estrogen production or reduce the binding of estradiol to SHBG may increase a woman‘s risk of developing breast cancer later in life. [J Natl Cancer Inst 87: 190–197, 1995]



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F. Berrino, C. Bellati, G. Secreto, E. Camerini, V. Pala, S. Panico, G. Allegro, and R. Kaaks
Reducing Bioavailable Sex Hormones through a Comprehensive Change in Diet: the Diet and Androgens (DIANA) Randomized Trial
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., January 1, 2001; 10(1): 25 - 33.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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J. Nutr.Home page
E. Riboli
The European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC): Plans and Progress
J. Nutr., January 1, 2001; 131(1): 170S - 175.
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Cancer Res.Home page
L. Hilakivi-Clarke
Estrogens, BRCA1, and Breast Cancer
Cancer Res., September 1, 2000; 60(18): 4993 - 5001.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
A. Akhmedkhanov, P. Toniolo, A. Zeleniuch-Jacquotte, K. Pettersson, and I. Huhtaniemi
Genetic Variant of Luteinizing Hormone and Risk of Breast Cancer in Older Women
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., August 1, 2000; 9(8): 839 - 842.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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Cancer Res.Home page
L.-J. W. Lu, K. E. Anderson, J. J. Grady, F. Kohen, and M. Nagamani
Decreased Ovarian Hormones during a Soya Diet: Implications for Breast Cancer Prevention
Cancer Res., August 1, 2000; 60(15): 4112 - 4121.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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J Natl Cancer Inst MonogrHome page
C. R. Jefcoate, J. G. Liehr, R. J. Santen, T. R. Sutter, J. D. Yager, W. Yue, S. J. Santner, R. Tekmal, L. Demers, R. Pauley, et al.
Chapter 5: Tissue-Specific Synthesis and Oxidative Metabolism of Estrogens
J Natl Cancer Inst Monographs, July 1, 2000; 2000(27): 95 - 112.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J Natl Cancer Inst MonogrHome page
M. Garcia-Closas, S. E. Hankinson, S.-m. Ho, D. C. Malins, N. L. Polissar, S. N. Schaefer, Y. Su, and M. A. Vinson
Chapter 9: Factors Critical to the Design and Execution of Epidemiologic Studies and Description of an Innovative Technology to Follow the Progression From Normal to Cancer Tissue
J Natl Cancer Inst Monographs, July 1, 2000; 2000(27): 147 - 156.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
M. Kabuto, S. Akiba, R. G. Stevens, K. Neriishi, and C. E. Land
A Prospective Study of Estradiol and Breast Cancer in Japanese Women
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., June 1, 2000; 9(6): 575 - 579.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
A. M. Duncan, B. E. Merz-Demlow, X. Xu, W. R. Phipps, and M. S. Kurzer
Premenopausal Equol Excretors Show Plasma Hormone Profiles Associated with Lowered Risk of Breast Cancer
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., June 1, 2000; 9(6): 581 - 586.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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CarcinogenesisHome page
B. E. Henderson and H. S. Feigelson
Hormonal carcinogenesis
Carcinogenesis, March 1, 2000; 21(3): 427 - 433.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Cancer Res.Home page
C. Guillemette, R. C. Millikan, B. Newman, and D. E. Housman
Genetic Polymorphisms in Uridine Diphospho-Glucuronosyltransferase 1A1 and Association with Breast Cancer among African Americans
Cancer Res., February 1, 2000; 60(4): 950 - 956.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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CarcinogenesisHome page
C. S. Healey, A. M. Dunning, F. Durocher, D. Teare, P. D.P. Pharoah, R. N. Luben, D. F. Easton, and B. A.J. Ponder
Polymorphisms in the human aromatase cytochrome P450 gene (CYP19) and breast cancer risk
Carcinogenesis, February 1, 2000; 21(2): 189 - 193.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
D. S. Michaud, J. E. Manson, D. Spiegelman, R. L. Barbieri, D. W. Sepkovic, H. L. Bradlow, and S. E. Hankinson
Reproducibility of Plasma and Urinary Sex Hormone Levels in Premenopausal Women over a One-Year Period
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., December 1, 1999; 8(12): 1059 - 1064.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab.Home page
X. Xu, A. M. Duncan, B. E. Merz-Demlow, W. R. Phipps, and M. S. Kurzer
Menstrual Cycle Effects on Urinary Estrogen Metabolites
J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab., November 1, 1999; 84(11): 3914 - 3918.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
S. A. Khan, A. Sachdeva, S. Naim, M. M. Meguid, W. Marx, H. Simon, J. D. Halverson, and P. J. Numann
The Normal Breast Epithelium of Women with Breast Cancer Displays an Aberrant Response to Estradiol
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., October 1, 1999; 8(10): 867 - 872.
[Abstract] [Full Text]


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J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab.Home page
T. Thomas
Individualized Testing and Outcome Measurements Are Needed for Successful Hormone Replacement Therapy
J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab., October 1, 1999; 84(10): 3852 - 3853.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
S. R. Cummings, S. Eckert, K. A. Krueger, D. Grady, T. J. Powles, J. A. Cauley, L. Norton, T. Nickelsen, N. H. Bjarnason, M. Morrow, et al.
The Effect of Raloxifene on Risk of Breast Cancer in Postmenopausal Women: Results From the MORE Randomized Trial
JAMA, June 16, 1999; 281(23): 2189 - 2197.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.Home page
A. McTiernan, R. S. Schwartz, J. Potter, and D. Bowen
Exercise Clinical Trials in Cancer Prevention Research:A Call to Action
Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., March 1, 1999; 8(3): 201 - 207.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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ANN INTERN MEDHome page
J. A. Cauley, F. L. Lucas, L. H. Kuller, K. Stone, W. Browner, S. R. Cummings, and for the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures Research G
Elevated Serum Estradiol and Testosterone Concentrations Are Associated with a High Risk for Breast Cancer
Ann Intern Med, February 16, 1999; 130(4_Part_1): 270 - 277.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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NEJMHome page
S. R. Cummings, W. S. Browner, D. Bauer, K. Stone, K. Ensrud, S. Jamal, B. Ettinger, and The Study of Osteoporotic Fractures Research Group
Endogenous Hormones and the Risk of Hip and Vertebral Fractures among Older Women
N. Engl. J. Med., September 10, 1998; 339(11): 733 - 738.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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NEJMHome page
A. McTiernan
Exercise and Breast Cancer -- Time to Get Moving?
N. Engl. J. Med., May 1, 1997; 336(18): 1311 - 1312.
[Full Text]


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J. Nutr.Home page
R. Ballard-Barbash, D. F. Birt, M. Kestin, and I. B. King
Perspectives on Integrating Experimental and Epidemiologic Research on Diet, Anthropometry and Breast Cancer
J. Nutr., May 1, 1997; 127 (5): 936S - 936S.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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NEJMHome page
Y. Zhang, D. P. Kiel, B. E. Kreger, L. A. Cupples, R. C. Ellison, J. F. Dorgan, A. Schatzkin, D. Levy, and D. T. Felson
Bone Mass and the Risk of Breast Cancer among Postmenopausal Women
N. Engl. J. Med., February 27, 1997; 336(9): 611 - 617.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. A. Cauley, F. L. Lucas, L. H. Kuller, M. T. Vogt, W. S. Browner, and S. R. Cummings
Bone Mineral Density and Risk of Breast Cancer in Older Women: The Study of Osteoporotic Fractures
JAMA, November 6, 1996; 276(17): 1404 - 1408.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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C. Campagnoli, N. Biglia, and P. Sismondi
Hormone Replacement Therapy and Breast Cancer Risk
JAMA, April 17, 1996; 275(15): 1159 - 1159.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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H.-O. Adami and I. Persson
Hormone Replacement and Breast Cancer: A Remaining Controversy?
JAMA, July 12, 1995; 274(2): 178 - 179.
[Abstract] [PDF]



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